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Week 14 DFS Deep Dive: Freebie Week



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Quarterbacks


Josh Allen $8300 vs Chiefs


The Bills should feel fully refreshed after a late bye week and it’s do-or-die time for them with every game between now and the post-season being must-win material. The Bills have defensive struggles they’re unlikely to overcome any time soon, which will be music to the ears of the Chiefs, but those struggles don’t extend as far as Josh Allen who has been a top-six quarterback in seven of his last nine games, is averaging six rush attempts per game over his last six games and has more rushing touchdowns than every QB not named Jalen Hurts.


Usage Suggestions: Allen is a fantasy stud and is always in play for all formats. The question comes down to, can you make the lineup work around him? Finding Allen’s stacking partners is a tricky task this week with KC good against the pass but Stefon Diggs has performed in plenty of big spots and it would be hard to look past him. I do however really like Gabe Davis this week and the best-looking bringback would be Rashee Rice, all things including cost considered.


Lamar Jackson $7700 vs Rams


The Ravens also come into Week 14 refreshed from their bye week and know that a win is vital here before their fixtures look increasingly ugly as the playoffs loom. The Rams leave behind the warm weather of the West Coast and their dome to head to Baltimore, in a game that could be affected by weather setting up for the type of run-heavy and pass-efficient type of game the Ravens love to be in. The Rams have struggled with dual-threat quarterbacks this year, giving up 47 yards to Josh Dobbs, 56 and a touchdown to Anthony Richardson and 72 and a touchdown to Jalen Hurts. Over the last four games, Jackson is averaging 9.5 rush attempts per game and 48.5 rushing yards. In recent games Jackson has been Gus Bus’d a few times, leading to four games outside the top twelve at the position, but the Rams give up the 11th most fantasy points (fpts) to quarterbacks and everything is lining up for a blow-up game, as long as the weather doesn’t get too bad. 


Usage Suggestions: If you have doubts about Jackson’s ability to break slates these days then you shouldn’t consider him for cash games, but I have no problem with him there. In tournaments, I’d look for stacks no greater than Jackson + two other players from the Ravens. The most appealing bringback is Kyren Williams. My main lean for the Ravens will be Zay Flowers, who has flashed in the two games without Andrews this year.


(Matchup data for Ravens vs Rams - another thing our members get for every single game exclusively in our Discord. Setting you up to win).




Justin Fields $6800 vs Lions 


When these two teams faced off in Week 11, Justin Fields ran 18 times for 104 yards in his return from a thumb injury. The Lions have also given up 45 rushing yards to Patrick Mahomes, 39 to Jordan Love and 36 and a touchdown to Lamar Jackson. So far this season the Lions allow the seventh most fpts to QBs, allowing three top-eight performances in their last four games. Fields has been a far more accurate quarterback this year and deserves credit for it.

Usage Suggestions: Playable in all formats. In tournaments the obvious stack is with DJ Moore, so be sure to add at least one bring-back to this to get different. I’ll be tempted by Fields, Moore and two Lions players in the hope this game catches fire.


Brock Purdy $6500 vs Seahawks


The Niners quarterback room isn’t a place we constantly want to target for fantasy football, but Brock Purdy deserves attention on certain matchups and that includes this week against the Seahawks. The Niners win in areas that the Seahawks are struggling against, specifically, the middle of the field where Deebo Samuel and George Kittle can exploit, and Bobby Wagner sadly isn’t capable of tracking CMC these days. The Niners are rounding into form at the right time, while the Seahawks are floundering with their passing defense ranked 26th in DVOA and now facing the number one passing offense. The Seahawks held Purdy to less than 11 points in their last meeting as a hyper-efficient Deebo Samuel gashed them, but in the return fixture, I wouldn’t be surprised to see a better day from Purdy who has been a top-two QB in the games that sandwiched that result.


Usage Suggestions: There are enough dual threats on this slate that it feels like one of them will be the key to cash games, but at $6500 I like Purdy in tournaments where I’d stack him with Deebo Samuel as a priority, with CMC also an option and DK Metcalf or Tyler Lockett looking to have friendlier matchups than JSN.


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Joe Flacco $4700 vs Jaguars


Flacco is back-yo, or something less lame but to the same effect. Flacco rolled off the street and got back to where he left off with the Jets, slinging the ball to Elijah Moore to good effect, and this time he was protected better than in most games with the Jets, only being sacked twice. Flacco also had more time to make his throws than at any point with the Jets and it showed in his performance. The Jaguars allow the third most fpts to QBs and have given up 20+ point days to three of their last four opponents.


Usage Suggestions: Tournaments only and obviously stacked with Elijah Moore. If Amari Cooper is healthy then he can be considered too, but we’re mainly seeing this game as salary relief to be able to add studs elsewhere.


Running Backs


Christian McCaffrey $9200 vs Seahawks


Deciding how to deal with Christian McCaffrey each and every week in fantasy football is one of the more difficult headaches we face and this week is no different. McCaffrey is a cool $9200 coming off six straight games over 20 points, with only two finishes below the RB8 mark all season. McCaffrey has touched the ball at least 20 times in four straight games, including in the Week 12 demolition of the Seahawks when he scored 30.9 PPR points and was the RB2.

Usage Suggestions: Last week McCaffrey was a must-have for cash lineups but this week I’d say he’s not quite as must-have, because of the depth of the slate. Meanwhile, in tournaments, I will be trying to have at least one Purdy, CMC, Deebo stack.


Alvin Kamara $8200 vs Panthers


Alvin Kamara is heading towards his seventh consecutive 1000-yard season, which is a testament to his health at a position not famed for letting players stay healthy. Kamara is coming off his best performance of the year, a RB1 finish with 28.9 points with six catches, something he hadn’t done since Week 7. The Panthers, as you might have heard before, allow a league-leading 1.4 rushing touchdowns per game to the RB position, with no other team over 1.1. The Panthers give up the third-most fpts to RBs and their defense is 32nd in run DVOA, facing the 11th-best offense. Like all Panthers opponents, it really comes down to just how run-heavy they opt to be.


Usage Suggestions: If Taysom Hill sits out due to injuries, then Kamara is in play for cash games, otherwise he’s best held for tournaments, where we don’t need to find a bringback.


David Montgomery $6400 vs Bears


Last time the Bears faced their former running back, Dan Campbell made it a priority to feed David Montgomery as he sought to stick it to a team who had no interest in re-signing him when his contract expired. Montgomery had 14 touches for 98 yards and a touchdown, finishing as a top-twelve RB for the third time this season. The Lions run offense ranks fourth best in DVOA, and faces a Chicago team allowing the 10th most fpts to the position, having allowed eight top-fifteen finishes this year along with nine different running backs scoring touchdowns against them.


Usage Suggestions: Tournaments only, because in the event the Bears stay in the game, or God forbid, lead, then Gibbs usage is always a wildcard. If you’re stacking the Bears side, Gibbs or Monty make for fine bringbacks.


Breece Hall $6200 vs Texans


It’s probably true that Breece Hall shouldn’t have been written up in this column six times previous to this week, particularly when considering how many island games the Jets have played also, but if you’re getting as fatigued from these writeups as I am from writing them, then it’s a good indication of how the wider public are feeling, which provides us with an opportunity if we’re willing to take it. The Texans rank 27th in DVOA vs RBs in the receiving game an area that Breece has had success with.

Usage Suggestions: Tournaments only.


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Joe Mixon $6100 vs Colts


It isn’t pretty with Joe Mixon this season, but he’s getting it done, averaging 7% more snaps than in 2022, and 0.75 more touches per game. Mixon has only three finishes inside the top-ten running backs, but has two games with 100 total yards in his last three games and faces a Colts side that ranks 26th in run defense DVOA and allows the fourth-most fpts, giving up the second-most touchdowns per game on the ground. The Colts come into this game fresh of giving up 120 yards and two touchdowns to Derrick Henry.


Usage Suggestions: Mixon is a little tricky for me to justify in cash games this week, but in tournaments at this price tag it feels like he’ll get completely overlooked and that is always intriguing. Mixon can be paired with Michael Pittman, who continues to look like one of the bargains of the offseason.


Gus Edwards $5900 vs Rams


With Keaton Mitchell $1000 cheaper, it’s easy to assume that people will prefer to play the electric rookie, and I won’t talk you out of it, but let’s not overlook Edwards, who has scored nine touchdowns in his last six games. The weather in Baltimore could be a little bit less than ideal which would play into Edwards, with him likely trusted more with ball security if it gets bad and the Ravens run offense which ranks number one in run offense DVOA, might be too much for a Rams defense ranked 21st against the run.


Usage Suggestions: If the weather is fine, I’d stack Gus with Lamar and up to one pass-catcher, if not then I’d look at more slimline usage of the Ravens. With Zack Moss priced identically, I’m not sure I’d play Edwards in cash, but because of that similarity, he’d provide leverage should Moss fail.


Zack Moss $5900 vs Bengals


Moss’s price has risen by $1300 despite the failure of Week 13, but don’t expect his ownership to be minimal given the wider amount of good performances we’ve seen this year from him and that the matchup is alluring. The Bengals run defense ranks 29th in DVOA, having given up top twelve finishes to Devin Singletary (RB3), Gus Edwards (RB5) and Travis Etienne (RB11), since week 10, as well as an RB13 finish to Najee Harris in that spell as well. Moss saw 21 touches in Week 13, including several around the goal line, but things didn’t break in his favor and he was kept out, that should be less of a problem this weekend with the Bengals allowing an RB rushing touchdown in each of their last four games.


Usage Suggestions: We’re back on Zack Moss in cash games this week. In tournaments he can be correlated with Ja’Maar Chase, or Michael Pittman, or maybe even both.


(Matchup data for Bengals vs Colts - another thing our members get for every single game exclusively in our Discord. Setting you up to win).




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Chuba Hubbard $5600 vs Saints


The Saints defense isn’t an ideal matchup for a lot of fantasy positions but they are for running backs with them ranking 25th in DVOA, and allowing 230 yards to Bijan Robinson, Tyler Allgeier and Cordarrelle Patterson combined in Week 12, as well as allowing both Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery to top 50 yards in Week 13. The Panthers changed up their run scheme in the wake of Frank Reich’s departure and it benefited Hubbard to the tune of 104 yards with him looking very explosive.


Usage Suggestions: Tournaments only, due to the nature of the Panthers. 



Wide Receivers


Justin Jefferson $8500 vs Raiders


As our friends at The Fantasy Wildcard proclaimed, The King is Back, and it’s most welcome. Jefferson last played in Week 5 and the team was right to slow play his return given the injury to Kirk Cousins, but now normal service should be resumed and as long as Josh Dobbs doesn’t have another awful game like his last appearance, we can start to enjoy playing Jefferson once more. There is an element of the unknown with this Vikings offense, but Jefferson is a stud and can dominate regardless of the QB play, particularly against a Raiders defense allowing the fifth-highest catch rate and having given up their worst results of the year to Tyreek Hill in Week 11 (30.6pts) and Rashee Rice in Week 12 (24.7), along with a big day to Garrett Wilson in Week 10 (18.3pts).


Usage Suggestions: Tournaments only.


Amon-Ra St. Brown $8200 vs Bears


When the Lions played the Bears in Week 11, Amon-Ra scored 21.7 points and finished as the WR7, his best outing in the last four games. The Bears allow the eighth-most fpts to slot receivers, having given up big days to other slot receivers including Curtis Samuel and Keenan Allen. St. Brown is coming off a disappointing two-catch day versus the Saints, but he can get back on track here.


Usage Suggestions: All formats and a fine pairing with Fields and DJ Moore stacks.


Chris Olave $7000 vs Panthers


There is no way that I’m missing out on a chance to play Chris Olave with Jameis Winston as Derek Carr looks set to miss at least this game. Jameis is one of the most fun quarterbacks in the league from a fantasy perspective and with the Saints wide receivers banged up, this could be a high-volume day for Olave who is averaging 18.3 PPR points over his last four games and faces a Panthers secondary ranked 24th vs WR1s.


Usage Suggestions: I prefer Kamara in cash games if I had to choose, but for tournaments playing Jameis with Olave and Chuba Hubbard seems like a fun start.


Deebo Samuel $6800 vs Seahawks


Oh yes, it’s another Deebo week, with the Niners facing the Seahawks whom they last played in Week 12, Samuel totaled 94 yards and a touchdown against the Seahawks and now he gets a chance to run it back all over again. The Seahawks have allowed four different wide receivers to score 16 or more points since Week 11, and their zone-based defense plays into Samuel’s strengths at a time when he’s running hot, with consecutive games inside the top ten wide receivers. The Seahawks are fading when it matters most, while the Niners and Samuel are peaking at the perfect time.


Usage Suggestions: All formats. I like Brock Purdy double-stacks this weekend and while Metcalf and Lockett stand out the most for bringbacks, I won’t be forcing one here.


(Matchup data for Niners vs Seahawks - another thing our members get for every single game exclusively in our Discord. Setting you up to win).




DJ Moore $6500 vs Lions


The Bears bye week might have come at the wrong time for them, with Justin Fields getting hot on his return from a dislocated thumb, and it was welcome for DJ Moore who averages 20.9 PPR points in games with Fields, compared to 10.3 without. Moore has two 22-point games in his last two appearances, including in Week 11 against the Lions, who rank 23rd versus WR1s in DVOA and are weaker against the pass than the run.


Usage Suggestions: All formats, but an easier click in tournaments where the stacking partners can be Fields and one or both of Amon-Ra St. Brown and Sam LaPorta.


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Courtland Sutton $6100 vs Chargers


Courtland Sutton has scored the third most receiving touchdowns among wide receivers (9) and has had six top-24 weeks as a result of this. The Broncos have found a formula on offense that works for them and now face a divisional game with the Chargers with plenty on the line. The Chargers passing defense ranks 27th in DVOA and 28th vs WR1s, allowing the third most fpts to the position. Since Week 10 the only team to not have a 19-point or greater performance from a WR facing the Chargers was the lowly Patriots who failed to score any points.


Usage Suggestions: All formats. In tournaments look to pair Sutton with Gerald Everett or Keenan Allen. I’d feel better about Allen if he practices today (Thursday).


Gabe Davis $5800 vs Chiefs


The Gabe Davis experience is always difficult, with two goose-egg games in his last five, while also having two games over 23 DK points. The Chiefs have been a good defense all season, ranking fifth best versus the pass in DVOA, but their weakness is against WR2s where they rank 24th best. Davis has feasted in matchups where teams have had to dedicate coverage to Stefon Diggs and this week should be no different.


Usage Suggestions: Tournaments only. As part of Bills stacks typically.


(Matchup data for Chiefs vs Bills - another thing our members get for every single game exclusively in our Discord. Setting you up to win).




Zay Flowers $5700 vs Rams


In the two games Zay Flowers has played without Mark Andrews he’s averaged 2.8 more targets per game (9 total) and has scored 20.45 PPR points as opposed to 11. Admittedly, that’s a small sample size and might not prove sticky but against a Rams defense ranking 20th vs WR1s in DVOA, it’s worth considering. The Rams have struggled against smaller receivers in recent weeks, giving up 14.8 points to Marquise Brown in Week 12 and 12.3 to Elijah Moore in Week 13. This is all without mentioning that rookies have a history of performing better post-rookie bye week…


Usage Suggestions: There are probably safer plays for cash games this week, but in tournaments stacking Flowers with Lamar seems like a layup. I also regret to inform you that I will be playing Rashod Bateman at $3200.


Rashee Rice $5400 vs Bills


One could very easily make the argument that Rashee Rice is severely mispriced this week, going up against a Bills secondary that ranks 22nd in pass defense DVOA and having allowed 14 points or more to all of AJ Brown, Devonta Smith, Tee Higgins and Courtland Sutton in their last four games. Rice has had eight touches in consecutive games, the ninth most among all wide receivers in that period and his 30% target share in those games is a gulf apart from any other Chiefs receiver.


Usage Suggestions: In play for all formats. I prefer to stack the Bills side of this game and use Rice as a bringback, rather than use Mahomes.


Garrett Wilson $5500 vs Texans


Take a deep breath and accept the fact that Zach Wilson was actually better for the Jets fantasy viable duo than the awful quarterbacks they’ve rolled out since benching him. Garrett Wilson has averaged 65.1 receiving yards in games with Zach Wilson, compared to 47 in those without. The Texans defense has been playing better since Derek Stingley came off IR, but still rank 21st vs WR1s and I’d take Garrett Wilson against nearly any cornerback in the league. Since Week 10 the Texans have allowed 15+ point games to all of Courtland Sutton, Tyler Boyd, Calvin Ridley and Ja’Maar Chase.


Usage Suggestions: I think we’ll see Wilson paraded as a cash game choice this week, for me that’s a borderline call because the price is attractive. I prefer this play in tournaments as a one-off or perhaps correlated with Nico Collins or whichever tight end the Texans play.


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Elijah Moore $4500 vs Jaguars


One of our biggest hits from Week 13 was knowing that Joe Flacco would pepper Elijah Moore with targets and the two of them seem to share a genuine connection. Moore was only able to turn it into 12.3 PPR points but might enjoy more success this week against a Jags defense allowing the eighth-most fpts to WRs, having given up big days since Week 10 to Ja’Maar Chase (31.6), Nico Collins (23.4), Tank Dell (17.2), Deebo Samuel (15.9), DeAndre Hopkins (15.9) and Brandon Aiyuk (14.5).


Usage Suggestions: At this price tag, playable everywhere. I don’t hate the Flacco stacks, but it’s worth noting that without Trevor Lawrence this game might be lacking in ceiling.



Tight End


Sam LaPorta $6100 vs Bears


The Lions got LaPorta rolling again over the last two weeks, finishing as a TE3 and TE1, after disappointing TE15 and 18 finishes the preceding weeks. LaPorta faces a Bears defense allowing the fourth-most fpts to the position, giving up seven top twelve finishes to the position including two in their last four games. LaPorta’s 7.2 targets per game is fourth among the position and his six touchdowns are only equaled by Mark Andrews.


Usage Suggestions: All formats. In tournaments, I prefer stacking Justin Fields with DJ Moore and using LaPorta as a bring-back compared to stacking Goff.


David Njoku $4100 vs Jaguars


The last time David Njoku saw fewer than six targets in a game was Week 6 against a Niners defense that allows the second-fewest fpts to TEs. The Jaguars defense is significantly worse than the Niners, when it comes to the TE position, allowing the 13th most fpts and the third-highest yards per reception to the position.


Usage Suggestions: Viable in all formats and if Amari Cooper should miss out he’ll be a very easy click in cash games. 


Gerald Everett $3400 vs Broncos


Since missing Week 11, Gerald Everett has come back and posted consecutive games of 40+ yards, which has been good enough to see him be a TE1 in back-to-back weeks for the first time all season. The Chargers need pass-catchers to stand up and be counted and nobody might have a nicer matchup on the Chargers than Everett who faces a Broncos team allowing the second-most fpts to the position and ranking dead last in DVOA against TEs. In nine of the Broncos twelve games this year they’ve allowed a TE1 performances with only the Bengals allowing more yards per game (71).


Usage Suggestions: Everett is my favorite salary relief option this week and I’ll be using him plenty. In tournaments I like Herbert stacks with Everett and Allen, with Sutton on the other side. 


(Matchup data for Chargers vs Denver - another thing our members get for every single game exclusively in our Discord. Setting you up to win).




Brevin Jordan $3100 vs Jets


Last week with Dalton Schultz out with a hamstring injury, Brevin Jordan caught three of his four targets for 64 yards and finished as the TE8. With Dalton Schultz again out through injury, Jordan is back in play. The Jets allow a league-leading 0.6 touchdowns per game to the tight end position and that would be enough for Jordan to pay off.


Usage Suggestions: I wouldn't expect this game to be popular for stacks, so contrarian stacks of Stroud, Collins, Jordan and Garrett Wilson have some intrigue, but Jordan can also be played solo for salary relief.


Tanner Hudson $2800 vs Colts


Our bargain bin selection of the week lands on Tanner Hudson, who going back to Week 9 averages 4.4 receptions per game and 36 yards. Sooner or later if Hudson finds the end zone he’ll finish inside the top ten for the first time, something he’s flirted with despite the lack of touchdowns, finishing as TE12-15 on three occasions. The Colts allow the eighth-most fpts to TEs and allowed Chigoziem Okonkwo his biggest game of the season in Week 13.


Usage Suggestions: Tournaments only.


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