THE $100 BANKROLL CHALLENGE
$100 to more or less... in eighteen weeks
This idea isn’t the most original amongst DFS circles. Pete Overzet (@peteroverzet) had a fantastic series on his Youtube channel last year where he started with $1000 and by the end of the season had made a healthy profit. I wanted to take that idea and apply it to a lower budget. $100 might sound a lot to some DFS players, and that’s okay, we should all know our budget, but when we’re talking about an 18 week season it’s the equivalent of $5.55 a week. The challenge for me will be selecting how much budget to play each week and which contests to play it in, whilst also not running out of cheddar cheese too early.
I’ve been playing DFS for around six years now, and I’ve been pretty successful along the way with multiple four figures wins. I won’t lie to you, I’m no high stakes player. I typically enter contests up to the $30 range. Typically I play a lot of cash or double-up games and sprinkle in a decent amount of tournament plays. My approach for this challenge will be to start reasonably small on tournaments, with a larger chunk devoted to cash or 50/50 games. Hopefully, I’ll be able to boost my overall bankroll to a higher amount and then start to target smaller field 3-max tournaments.
Each week I’ll bring you a roundup of the contests I entered, with the lineups I used and my thinking behind them. I’ll also share the spreadsheet I’m using to keep track of my entries and running totals. If you feel like joining in, I’d love to hear how you do and you can download a copy of my spreadsheet template here.
A lot of my teams will be built around value plays that I write up weekly for NFL-DFS.com, along with my Stack of The Week found here on nflbestball.co.uk. As always, I’m always around on Twitter (@bestballUKNFL) for any questions you have.
WEEK 10 REVIEW
Week 10 was the type of week you walk away from with lots to contemplate about the current best way to attack DFS. Coming into this season most people who are on the sharp end of DFS would have advised double stacks for GPP’s, and bring-backs (a member of the opposing team), were seen as essential. Ten weeks into the season and we’re seeing tournaments won without these conventional methods routinely. I feel like my DFS process has been refined this season, partly by having to tell to anyone who reads this what my decisions were, but a good win in tournaments is still alluding me. Over the last two weeks, I haven’t cashed in a tournament above the min-cash level and that’s fine and profitable, but we’re getting closer to the end of the season and as the slates get more condensed, I tend to play less. My chances to win big are slipping away.
Followers of my Twitter account might have seen me post my lineups and contest selection about an hour before lock on Sunday. I tend to only get them posted before lock if I’m very confident, and I was. The cash lineup in particular felt strong, so let’s start there. Dak Prescott was underpriced against a weak Atlanta Falcons team and was a no brainer. I knew playing the chalk running backs Mark Ingram and D’ernest Johnson here would be safer than in GPP’s and this left me free to play Davante Adams, Mike Evans and Jonathan Taylor with the savings. All three of those players were some of the highest projected players on the slate and in cash that’s no bad thing. Ownership is never a problem in cash, we just play the best plays. I really liked Jerry Jeudy, who continues to outperform Courtland Sutton and anyone who has read my Value Plays column will be familiar with my love for Dan Arnold whilst DK continue to under-value him. His usage and price are too good to pass up. The plan for contest selection was similar to normal, hit the big field single entry contests where I trust myself to be better than half of the entrants, and it worked out. From early on in the slate I was confident these would cash and with a final score of 152.24, it was never in doubt.
GPP’s however are a different story. If you read my Stack of The Week article you’ll know I was all in on Russell Wilson’s return against Green Bay, so he picked a bad time to have the worst game of his career. My build focused on two games, stacking Wilson and Lockett with MVS as a bring back and then using Dalvin Cook, Tyler Conklin and Mike Williams from the Vikings against the Chargers. This build allowed me to fit Jonathan Taylor in who I was really high on but ultimately I was left with a bunch of under-performers. My cumulative ownership was less than 80%, which in hindsight makes me think I gave up too many projected points chasing differentials. My second team, which I entered into fewer contests, faired slightly better. Again, I took a correlated approach with pairings of Herbert and Mike Williams, Zeke and Pitts and Swift and Washington. On another day this could have worked out and I maintain that the approach was good. The ownership level crept up to 105% which feels good for the contests I was playing in, the points just weren’t there.
Overall I walked away from the day with a small profit from the cash lineup and that’s no bad thing. On weeks where I’m confident in my cash team, I’ll often play enough that if I lose all my GPP entries I’ll cover that loss if the cash team is good. I’m happy with the contests and lineups I used, it just didn’t hit. There’s always next week...